TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 10, 2:18 AM EST
Polymarket
Episode 8 of House of the Dragon Season 3 is scheduled to air on August 9, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone says the listed term during the specified episode of House of the Dragon. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Terms audible in background music will not be considered toward the resolution of this market, neither will terms said within a "previously on" recap or "next time on" preview segment. If this episode of House of the Dragon has not been released in its entirety by August 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has been released up to that point. If no episode has been released by this time, or if the release is otherwise definitively cancelled, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the initial release of the named episode of House of the Dragon. Reruns, re-releases, or transcripts which differ from the initially released episode will not be considered. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Episode 8 of House of the Dragon Season 3 is scheduled to air on August 9, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone says the listed term during the specified episode of House of the Dragon. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Terms audible in background music will not be considered toward the resolution of this market, neither will terms said within a "previously on" recap or "next time on" preview segment. If this episode of House of the Dragon has not been released in its entirety by August 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has been released up to that point. If no episode has been released by this time, or if the release is otherwise definitively cancelled, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the initial release of the named episode of House of the Dragon. Reruns, re-releases, or transcripts which differ from the initially released episode will not be considered. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Compared to analyst forecasts, this market often reveals sharper or more volatile expectations. Analysts may focus on narrative consistency or character arcs, while traders react to behind-the-scenes hints, fan theories, and production updates. When there’s a major leak or cast statement, this market can shift quickly, sometimes diverging from traditional media predictions.
This market resolves around Aug 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the episode airs and key lines are verifiable from credible public sources. The exact dialogue or declaration that matches the winning market contract will determine the result, closing the market shortly after the episode’s broadcast.
Several signals could shift this market before Aug 9, 2026. Early leaks, cast and crew interviews, or official teasers may hint at pivotal dialogue. Major plot developments in preceding episodes might also sway expectations. As the finale nears, any confirmed plot details from credible sources or production updates are likely to cause rapid price adjustments among traders on Polymarket.