TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Other
What will be said during the final episode of House of the Dragon: Season 3?
polymarket

What will be said during the final episode of House of the Dragon: Season 3?

Volume:
$14,598

Sword

 - Polymarket

Sword - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 10, 2026

Closed: Aug 10, 2:18 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Sword

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,101
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Power

100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,676
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Council

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,041
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Bastard

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,023
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Storm

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$912
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Dragon 15+ times

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
5.9¢
N/A
$884
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Queen 10+ times

100%
22%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
8¢
N/A
$857
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

King 5+ times

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$602
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Grace 10+ times

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,341
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Treason

0%
93%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,316
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Prayer

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,167
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Marriage

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$414
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

-No Qualifying Event-

0%
66%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$264
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

Episode 8 of House of the Dragon Season 3 is scheduled to air on August 9, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone says the listed term during the specified episode of House of the Dragon. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Terms audible in background music will not be considered toward the resolution of this market, neither will terms said within a "previously on" recap or "next time on" preview segment. If this episode of House of the Dragon has not been released in its entirety by August 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has been released up to that point. If no episode has been released by this time, or if the release is otherwise definitively cancelled, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the initial release of the named episode of House of the Dragon. Reruns, re-releases, or transcripts which differ from the initially released episode will not be considered. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

Polymarket

Episode 8 of House of the Dragon Season 3 is scheduled to air on August 9, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone says the listed term during the specified episode of House of the Dragon. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Terms audible in background music will not be considered toward the resolution of this market, neither will terms said within a "previously on" recap or "next time on" preview segment. If this episode of House of the Dragon has not been released in its entirety by August 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has been released up to that point. If no episode has been released by this time, or if the release is otherwise definitively cancelled, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the initial release of the named episode of House of the Dragon. Reruns, re-releases, or transcripts which differ from the initially released episode will not be considered. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the House of the Dragon finale dialogue market dashboard displays real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $5,839. It shows how traders on Polymarket are pricing the likelihood of different key lines being spoken in the season finale. The interface updates continuously to reflect market activity and shifts in trader sentiment as the episode release approaches.

Compared to analyst forecasts, this market often reveals sharper or more volatile expectations. Analysts may focus on narrative consistency or character arcs, while traders react to behind-the-scenes hints, fan theories, and production updates. When there’s a major leak or cast statement, this market can shift quickly, sometimes diverging from traditional media predictions.

This market resolves around Aug 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the episode airs and key lines are verifiable from credible public sources. The exact dialogue or declaration that matches the winning market contract will determine the result, closing the market shortly after the episode’s broadcast.

Several signals could shift this market before Aug 9, 2026. Early leaks, cast and crew interviews, or official teasers may hint at pivotal dialogue. Major plot developments in preceding episodes might also sway expectations. As the finale nears, any confirmed plot details from credible sources or production updates are likely to cause rapid price adjustments among traders on Polymarket.