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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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What will be said during Episode 40 of Big Brother?
polymarket

What will be said during Episode 40 of Big Brother?

Volume:
$5,211

Family

 - Polymarket

Family - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 28, 2026

Closed: Sep 28, 3:05 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Family

View
100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
4.9¢
N/A
$510
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Blood

100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
4.9¢
N/A
$467
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Surprise

100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$365
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Jury

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$280
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Joke

100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
4.9¢
N/A
$187
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Veto 5+ times

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
4.9¢
N/A
$165
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Final

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
4.9¢
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

-No Qualifying Event-

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,159
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Coffee

0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$595
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Blind

0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
2.9¢
N/A
$448
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Pawn

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$406
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Date

0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$320
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Flip the Vote / Flipped the Vote

0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$118
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Sleep

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$85
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 14

Description

Episode 40 of Big Brother Season 28 is scheduled to air on September 25, 2026 (https://www.cbs.com/schedule/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone says the listed term during the specified episode of Big Brother. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Terms audible in background music will not be considered toward the resolution of this market, neither will terms said within a "previously on" recap or "next time on" preview segment. If this episode of Big Brother has not been released in its entirety by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has been released up to that point. If no episode has been released by this time, or if the release is otherwise definitively cancelled, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the initial release of the named episode of Big Brother (Big Brother: Unlocked episodes will qualify). Reruns, re-releases, or transcripts which differ from the initially released episode will not be considered. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

Polymarket

Episode 40 of Big Brother Season 28 is scheduled to air on September 25, 2026 (https://www.cbs.com/schedule/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone says the listed term during the specified episode of Big Brother. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Terms audible in background music will not be considered toward the resolution of this market, neither will terms said within a "previously on" recap or "next time on" preview segment. If this episode of Big Brother has not been released in its entirety by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has been released up to that point. If no episode has been released by this time, or if the release is otherwise definitively cancelled, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the initial release of the named episode of Big Brother (Big Brother: Unlocked episodes will qualify). Reruns, re-releases, or transcripts which differ from the initially released episode will not be considered. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Big Brother Episode 40 market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of different statements being made during the episode changes over time. Currently, the total volume for this market is $4,993, with $2,911 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a real-time view of where traders are placing their bets regarding what will be said on the show.

Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals interesting insights into collective wisdom versus expert opinion. While analysts often provide pre-event predictions based on their understanding of the show and its participants, this market reflects the aggregated beliefs of a diverse group of traders. Discrepancies between the two can highlight areas where the market anticipates surprises or where analysts may be overlooking certain factors. It’s a dynamic comparison, as both evolve with new information and shifting perspectives.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of different statements being made. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price movements are driven by supply and demand, responding to new information and shifts in trader sentiment. This creates a dynamic and efficient way to forecast the content of the Big Brother episode.

This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will depend on a review of the official broadcast of Big Brother Episode 40 to determine which statements were actually said during the episode. The outcome will be based on a clear and objective assessment of the episode’s content, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process for all participants in this market.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news or spoilers regarding the content of Big Brother Episode 40, such as leaks or promotional materials, would likely impact trading activity. Major developments within the house, like dramatic confrontations or alliances, could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, changes in public perception of the houseguests or the overall narrative of the season could influence the probabilities reflected in this market, leading to price fluctuations.