TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 3:05 AM EST
Polymarket
Episode 40 of Big Brother Season 28 is scheduled to air on September 25, 2026 (https://www.cbs.com/schedule/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone says the listed term during the specified episode of Big Brother. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Terms audible in background music will not be considered toward the resolution of this market, neither will terms said within a "previously on" recap or "next time on" preview segment. If this episode of Big Brother has not been released in its entirety by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has been released up to that point. If no episode has been released by this time, or if the release is otherwise definitively cancelled, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the initial release of the named episode of Big Brother (Big Brother: Unlocked episodes will qualify). Reruns, re-releases, or transcripts which differ from the initially released episode will not be considered. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Episode 40 of Big Brother Season 28 is scheduled to air on September 25, 2026 (https://www.cbs.com/schedule/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone says the listed term during the specified episode of Big Brother. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Terms audible in background music will not be considered toward the resolution of this market, neither will terms said within a "previously on" recap or "next time on" preview segment. If this episode of Big Brother has not been released in its entirety by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has been released up to that point. If no episode has been released by this time, or if the release is otherwise definitively cancelled, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the initial release of the named episode of Big Brother (Big Brother: Unlocked episodes will qualify). Reruns, re-releases, or transcripts which differ from the initially released episode will not be considered. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals interesting insights into collective wisdom versus expert opinion. While analysts often provide pre-event predictions based on their understanding of the show and its participants, this market reflects the aggregated beliefs of a diverse group of traders. Discrepancies between the two can highlight areas where the market anticipates surprises or where analysts may be overlooking certain factors. It’s a dynamic comparison, as both evolve with new information and shifting perspectives.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of different statements being made. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price movements are driven by supply and demand, responding to new information and shifts in trader sentiment. This creates a dynamic and efficient way to forecast the content of the Big Brother episode.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will depend on a review of the official broadcast of Big Brother Episode 40 to determine which statements were actually said during the episode. The outcome will be based on a clear and objective assessment of the episode’s content, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news or spoilers regarding the content of Big Brother Episode 40, such as leaks or promotional materials, would likely impact trading activity. Major developments within the house, like dramatic confrontations or alliances, could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, changes in public perception of the houseguests or the overall narrative of the season could influence the probabilities reflected in this market, leading to price fluctuations.