TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 1:48 AM EST
Polymarket
Episode 39 of Big Brother Season 28 is scheduled to air on September 24, 2026 (https://www.cbs.com/schedule/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone says the listed term during the specified episode of Big Brother. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Terms audible in background music will not be considered toward the resolution of this market, neither will terms said within a "previously on" recap or "next time on" preview segment. If this episode of Big Brother has not been released in its entirety by September 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has been released up to that point. If no episode has been released by this time, or if the release is otherwise definitively cancelled, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the initial release of the named episode of Big Brother (Big Brother: Unlocked episodes will qualify). Reruns, re-releases, or transcripts which differ from the initially released episode will not be considered. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Episode 39 of Big Brother Season 28 is scheduled to air on September 24, 2026 (https://www.cbs.com/schedule/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone says the listed term during the specified episode of Big Brother. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Terms audible in background music will not be considered toward the resolution of this market, neither will terms said within a "previously on" recap or "next time on" preview segment. If this episode of Big Brother has not been released in its entirety by September 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has been released up to that point. If no episode has been released by this time, or if the release is otherwise definitively cancelled, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the initial release of the named episode of Big Brother (Big Brother: Unlocked episodes will qualify). Reruns, re-releases, or transcripts which differ from the initially released episode will not be considered. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence differs from expert opinion. Often, this market reflects a broader range of perspectives than traditional polls or individual analyst predictions. While analysts may focus on specific strategic elements or character dynamics, this market incorporates the wisdom of the crowd, potentially identifying overlooked factors. Discrepancies between the two can highlight biases in either approach, offering a more nuanced understanding of potential outcomes. It's a fascinating way to gauge the overall expectation for what will be said during the episode.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of different outcomes. The price of each share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards a collective assessment of the event's potential. This dynamic pricing allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment surrounding the Big Brother episode. The current market reflects what traders believe is most likely to happen.
This market resolves around Sep 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on a review of the official broadcast of Big Brother Episode 39 to determine what statements were actually made. The market will settle to 100% for the outcome that accurately reflects the content of the episode, as verified against credible public sources. Traders should monitor news and official sources as the resolution date approaches to stay informed about potential catalysts.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Any pre-release information or spoilers regarding the episode's content, even rumors, could cause rapid shifts in trading activity. Major developments within the Big Brother house, such as dramatic confrontations or alliances forming, could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected guest appearances or changes to the episode's planned format could also be catalysts. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of what will be said during Episode 39 has the potential to impact the odds and volume of this market.