TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 21, 11:05 PM EST
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Opinion
Description
An "↑" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "High" for SPY (SPY) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an "↓" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "Low" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve "No". In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting SPY (SPY), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the SPY (SPY) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPY/. If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which SPY (SPY) trades governs.
Opinion
An "↑" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "High" for SPY (SPY) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an "↓" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "Low" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve "No". In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting SPY (SPY), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the SPY (SPY) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPY/. If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which SPY (SPY) trades governs.
Frequently asked questions
This market resolves around Aug 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final SPY closing price for the week determines which level — or range — is correct, and the market settles automatically based on that verified data.
Several signals could shift this market before Aug 21, 2026. Major economic reports, Federal Reserve policy changes, and broad market volatility may influence trader sentiment. Earnings seasons for large constituents and geopolitical developments often impact SPY price action. Additionally, unexpected liquidity events or sector-specific news could cause rapid repricing. Monitoring these catalysts will help anticipate how the market evolves as it approaches its resolution date.
