TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 11:13 PM EST
Opinion
An "↑" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "High" for NVIDIA (NVDA) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an "↓" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "Low" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve "No". In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting NVIDIA (NVDA), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/. If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which NVIDIA (NVDA) trades governs.
An "↑" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "High" for NVIDIA (NVDA) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an "↓" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "Low" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve "No". In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting NVIDIA (NVDA), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/. If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which NVIDIA (NVDA) trades governs.
Currently, the prevailing sentiment in this market suggests a higher probability of NVIDIA’s stock price increasing than decreasing. This contrasts with some traditional analyst forecasts, which present a wider range of potential outcomes. While analysts often rely on financial modeling and company reports, this market aggregates the wisdom of many individual traders, potentially incorporating a broader set of information and anticipating shifts in investor sentiment before they are reflected in conventional analysis. It’s important to remember that both prediction markets and analyst forecasts are imperfect predictors of the future.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different NVIDIA stock prices for the week of October 19, 2026. The price of each contract reflects the collective belief of traders regarding the probability of that specific price being reached. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a certain price is likely, the higher the contract price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date expectations of participants.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the closing price of NVIDIA stock during the week of October 19, 2026, is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will pay out to the traders who correctly predicted the price range that NVIDIA’s stock will reach. The final price will be sourced from standard financial data providers and will be publicly available shortly after the resolution date. This ensures a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could significantly influence this market between now and its resolution. Major announcements from NVIDIA regarding new products, earnings reports, or strategic partnerships would likely cause substantial price movement. Broader economic trends, such as changes in interest rates or overall market sentiment towards technology stocks, could also play a role. Unexpected news related to key competitors or disruptions in the semiconductor supply chain could further impact expectations. Any significant developments in artificial intelligence, given NVIDIA’s prominent position in that field, could also move this market.