TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 21, 11:05 PM EST
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Opinion
Description
An "↑" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "High" for NVIDIA (NVDA) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an "↓" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "Low" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve "No". In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting NVIDIA (NVDA), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/. If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which NVIDIA (NVDA) trades governs.
Opinion
An "↑" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "High" for NVIDIA (NVDA) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an "↓" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "Low" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve "No". In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting NVIDIA (NVDA), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/. If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which NVIDIA (NVDA) trades governs.
Frequently asked questions
Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds offer a real-time aggregate of trader expectations, which can diverge significantly from institutional projections. While analysts may base their targets on fundamentals and technicals, this market incorporates a broader range of inputs, including macro trends and sentiment. Traders often react faster to news, meaning odds can shift abruptly on earnings reports, product launches, or geopolitical developments affecting tech stocks.
On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Opinion, traders manually set prices through buying and selling contracts that represent possible outcomes. The current probability reflects the balance of buy and sell orders, with liquidity determined by how much volume of $0 is flowing through the market. As new information emerges — such as earnings surprises or Federal Reserve policy shifts — participants adjust their positions, which in turn moves the implied price for where NVIDIA will trade.
This market resolves around Aug 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement will compare NVIDIA’s closing price during the specified week to the contract’s target range or exact figure, closing all positions based on that verified data point. No further trading will occur after the market closes, locking in the results for all participants.
Several signals could shift this market before it resolves, including NVIDIA’s upcoming earnings releases, broader market volatility, regulatory announcements impacting AI chip demand, and macroeconomic factors such as interest rate decisions. Any surprise guidance on data center revenue or new product delays could cause rapid repricing. Additionally, geopolitical tensions or supply chain disruptions affecting semiconductor manufacturing may also influence trader sentiment and volume in the weeks leading up to Aug 21, 2026.
