TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
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↑ 547.5
$
Description
An "↑" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "High" for Microsoft (MSFT) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an "↓" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "Low" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve "No". In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Microsoft (MSFT), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/. If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Microsoft (MSFT) trades governs.
Opinion
An "↑" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "High" for Microsoft (MSFT) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an "↓" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "Low" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve "No". In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Microsoft (MSFT), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/. If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Microsoft (MSFT) trades governs.
Frequently asked questions
Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds in this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of expectations for Microsoft's price. While analysts may incorporate long-term fundamentals and macro trends, traders in this market react quickly to news, earnings reports, and tech-sector volatility, potentially creating divergence between institutional projections and the real-time betting sentiment.
This market resolves around Aug 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the price action for Microsoft in the specified week is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement will reflect the actual price range achieved during that period, closing all positions based on objective, publicly available data.
Several signals could shift this market before resolution: major Microsoft earnings releases, unexpected regulatory announcements, broad tech-sector swings, or macroeconomic shifts affecting large-cap tech valuations. Any surprise product launches, leadership changes, or significant market corrections could also cause rapid repricing as traders adjust their expectations for Microsoft's performance in the target week.
