TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 11:10 PM EST
Opinion
An "↑" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "High" for Micron (MU) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an "↓" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "Low" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve "No". In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Micron (MU), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Micron (MU) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MU/. If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Micron (MU) trades governs.
An "↑" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "High" for Micron (MU) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an "↓" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "Low" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve "No". In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Micron (MU), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Micron (MU) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MU/. If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Micron (MU) trades governs.
Currently, it's difficult to make a direct comparison between the predictions embedded in this market and traditional analyst forecasts. However, the collective wisdom of traders here often provides a different perspective than individual analyst reports. While analysts may focus on specific financial models and company statements, this market reflects a broader assessment of potential future events and their impact on the stock price. It’s worth noting that prediction markets have historically demonstrated an ability to forecast outcomes with accuracy comparable to, and sometimes exceeding, that of expert opinion.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential Micron stock prices. The prices of these contracts determine the implied probability of each outcome. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently incorporates new information as traders react to news, earnings reports, and broader economic trends. This dynamic pricing process allows the market to reflect the collective beliefs of participants regarding the future stock price, creating a real-time forecast based on financial insight.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Micron (MU) stock during the week of September 21, 2026, will be used to determine the winning price range. The market will settle to the price that Micron stock closes at during that week, as reported by a major financial data provider. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome based on publicly available data.
Numerous factors could significantly influence this market between now and Sep 25, 2026. Major catalysts include Micron's quarterly earnings reports, announcements regarding new product development or manufacturing capacity, and significant shifts in the global semiconductor market. Broader economic indicators, such as inflation rates and interest rate changes, could also play a role. Unexpected geopolitical events or disruptions to the supply chain could also impact the stock price and, consequently, the probabilities reflected in this market. Any news relating to major competitors in the memory chip industry will also be closely watched by traders.