TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 11:13 PM EST
Opinion
An "↑" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "High" for Meta (META) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an "↓" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "Low" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve "No". In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Meta (META), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Meta (META) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/META/. If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Meta (META) trades governs.
An "↑" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "High" for Meta (META) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an "↓" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "Low" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve "No". In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Meta (META), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Meta (META) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/META/. If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Meta (META) trades governs.
Currently, prediction market participants are expressing their views on the future price of Meta stock. These views are often compared to those of financial analysts, who also issue price targets and recommendations. However, unlike analyst forecasts, which can be influenced by firm biases or incentives, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, potentially providing a more unbiased prediction. It’s important to note that both prediction markets and analyst forecasts represent expectations, and neither guarantees future performance.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different Meta stock price outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a particular price is likely, the higher the contract price will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will resolve based on the closing price of Meta (META) stock during the week of October 19, 2026. The exact closing price will be sourced from a reputable financial data provider and used to determine which outcome in this market is the winner. Traders will then be paid out based on the final price and their positions.
Numerous factors could influence the Meta stock price market between now and its resolution. Major earnings reports from Meta, significant changes in the overall economic climate, and shifts in the competitive landscape within the social media and technology sectors are all potential catalysts. Unexpected regulatory announcements, breakthroughs in Meta’s metaverse initiatives, or even major news events impacting investor sentiment could also cause substantial price movements in this market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on changing expectations.