TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 12:00 AM EST
Limitless
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for ETH/USDT during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for ETH/USDT during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
On Limitless, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different Ethereum price outcomes, and the prices of these contracts fluctuate based on supply and demand. As more traders bet on a particular price range, the cost of contracts for that range increases, and vice versa. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect changing expectations about Ethereum’s future price. The platform uses a probabilistic model to translate contract prices into implied probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome determined by verifying the Ethereum price against credible public reporting during the period of September 28th to October 4th. The price will be sourced from a widely-recognized exchange and will be the closing price on October 4th. The specific price point that corresponds to the winning outcome will be determined based on the highest traded price range within the market. The outcome will be confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 5, 2026. Major news regarding Ethereum’s development, such as successful upgrades or unforeseen technical issues, could drive price movements. Broader macroeconomic events, including changes in interest rates or inflation data, could also impact investor sentiment towards cryptocurrencies. Regulatory announcements concerning cryptocurrency regulation, particularly those impacting Ethereum, are also key catalysts. Finally, significant shifts in the overall cryptocurrency market, such as a large-scale Bitcoin rally or correction, could indirectly affect the Ethereum price and, consequently, this market.