TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 11:32 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Ethereum will reach $2,400 or $3,000 during the period of October 19-25. Currently, the Polymarket market gives a 90.0% probability to Ethereum reaching $2,400 within that timeframe, and a 50.0% probability to it reaching $3,000. The resolution source for this market is Binance’s ETH/USDT trading pair. Traders should watch the price of Ethereum leading up to October 25th, as that marks the end of the betting period and when the market will resolve based on the price achieved during that week.
What price will Ethereum hit October 19-25?
Currently, prediction market odds suggest a high probability that Ethereum will reach a certain price point during the specified timeframe. This contrasts with typical spot price expectations, which are based on current market conditions and immediate supply and demand. While spot prices reflect short-term fluctuations, this market aggregates the beliefs of many traders about the price over a defined period. The difference between these two can indicate whether traders believe the market is under or overestimating the future price of Ethereum.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Ethereum will hit a specific price between October 19-25. The price of these contracts reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe Ethereum will reach a certain price, the higher the contract price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the closing price of Ethereum as recorded by a widely recognized and trusted source during the period of October 19-25. The specific price level that determines the outcome will be based on the contract definitions available on Polymarket. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or settle their losing positions.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 26, 2026. Major news regarding Ethereum’s development, such as successful upgrades or unforeseen technical issues, could impact price expectations. Broader macroeconomic factors, like changes in interest rates or inflation data, can also influence investor sentiment towards cryptocurrencies. Regulatory announcements concerning cryptocurrency regulations, and significant shifts in the overall crypto market sentiment, including Bitcoin's price action, are all potential catalysts that could shift the odds in this market.