TOTAL VOLUME:

$124b

24H VOL:

$84,547,050

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,121,338,658

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,287,835,486

364,458

Markets across

33,243

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,079

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

41%

VS.

Kalshi:

59%

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Science and Technology
What price will Ethereum hit August 31-September 6?
polymarket
limitless
kalshi

What price will Ethereum hit August 31-September 6?

Total volume:
$734,044
Volume 24h:
$149,173
9%
Liquidity:
$0
100%
Open interest:
$90,011
14%

Above $2,750.00

 - Kalshi

Above $2,750.00 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Oct 1, 2026

Time left: 20d:18h:12m

Will ETH trimmed mean be above $2750.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026?

34%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 34¢ buys you 294 shares | Odds: 34% Total Payout: $294 | Net Profit: $194 Multiplier: 2.94x | ROI: 194% APY not meaningful 20 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $2,750.00

Trade
34%
10%
Yes 34¢No 67¢
1¢
N/A
$28,051
11%
989%
$21,161
2w 6d 18h
active
kalshi

Above $3,000.00

Trade
17%
4%
Yes 16¢No 86¢
2¢
N/A
$17,222
9%
320%
$14,624
2w 6d 18h
active
polymarket

↑ 3,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,013
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↑ 3,000

View
N/A
N/A
0¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
8.5%
Yes 8¢No 93¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 2¢
kalshi

Above $3,250.00

Trade
7%
1%
Yes 6¢No 95¢
1¢
N/A
$25,987
1%
421%
$18,067
2w 6d 18h
active
kalshi

Above $3,500.00

Trade
3%
1%
Yes 3¢No 98¢
1¢
N/A
$21,565
17%
272%
$17,475
2w 6d 18h
active
kalshi

Above $3,750.00

Trade
2%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$985
56%
0%
$985
2w 6d 18h
active
kalshi

Above $4,250.00

Trade
1%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$10,574
5%
957%
$9,072
2w 6d 18h
active
kalshi

Above $4,000.00

Trade
1%
Yes 2¢No 100¢
2¢
N/A
$4,506
0%
104%
$4,381
2w 6d 18h
active
polymarket

↑ 2,500

View
100%
72%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$41,927
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $2,500.00

View
100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,600
N/A
N/A
$4,247
2w 6d 18h
Yes
limitless

↑ 2,500

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
81.9¢
N/A
$263
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↑ 2,500

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$9,515
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↓ 2,400

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,414
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ 2,500

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,690
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ 2,600

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$136,616
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↑ 2,600

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
0¢
N/A
$110
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↓ 2,300

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$109,935
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↓ 2,300

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
0¢
N/A
$53
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↑ 2,700

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$104,474
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↑ 2,700

View
N/A
N/A
0¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↓ 2,200

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$55,584
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↓ 2,200

View
N/A
N/A
0¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↑ 2,800

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50,008
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↑ 2,800

View
N/A
N/A
0¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 42

Intro

This market tracks the probability of Ethereum’s trimmed mean exceeding specified price thresholds by 11:59 PM ET on September 30, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of ETH being above $2750.00 is 39.0%, while the probability of it being above $3000.00 is 19.0%. This aggregated view combines data from Polymarket, Limitless, and Kalshi, with resolution determined by Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle data. Keep an eye on trading volume and price action between August 31 and September 6, as this period will be used to resolve these markets according to the specified rules.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms use identical resolution criteria based on Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle data for the specified date rangePrimary resolution logic: Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle data

Core resolution logic:

  • Markets resolve based on Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle data
  • Date range: August 31, 12:00 AM ET to September 6, 11:59 PM ET
  • Upward threshold markets ("Will reach $X") resolve Yes if any candle's high >= threshold
  • Downward threshold markets ("Will dip to $X") resolve Yes if any candle's low <= threshold

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Market Creation Timing: For markets created after the date range begins, only price action from creation time forward is considered
  • Candle Boundary: Candle closes determine the final price - partial intra-candle touches do not count
Timing: Immediate resolution upon occurrence during the specified date rangeOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

What price will Ethereum hit August 31-September 6?

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on whether Ethereum's price exceeds a specified threshold at any moment between issuance and 11:59 PM ET on September 30, 2026. Settlement evaluates minute-by-minute price data throughout the duration, applying a trimmed mean calculation that excludes the top and bottom 20% of observed values to reduce sensitivity to outliers. If any single minute's trimmed mean exceeds the relevant threshold, the market resolves to Yes. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at expiration, all affected markets resolve to No. The Exchange specifies the exact Ethereum version or ticker being tracked where multiple versions exist.

Limitless

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for ETH/USDT during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Ethereum price range market aggregates predictions from multiple venues, showing how traders across Polymarket and Limitless price this event. It displays total volume of $734,044 and 24-hour volume of $96,114, letting you see consensus and divergence in real time. This view helps you compare expectations and spot where the market is most active, giving a clear picture of collective sentiment around the Ethereum price range market.

This market resolves around Oct 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will watch price action throughout the period, as the closing price on the final trading day determines whether the market settles on the upside or downside. The process is designed to reflect real-world outcomes without requiring manual intervention, ensuring a clear and transparent result for all participants.

Key signals include major Ethereum upgrades, regulatory announcements, and macro moves in risk assets that influence crypto demand. Traders will also monitor on-chain activity, such as large transfers or staking flows, which can hint at institutional interest. Economic data, Fed policy, and broad market sentiment are additional catalysts that could shift probabilities in this market, making it react quickly to any surprise news or trend.