TOTAL VOLUME:
$124b
24H VOL:
$84,547,050
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,121,338,658
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,287,835,486
364,458
Markets across
33,243
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
3,079
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
41%
VS.
Kalshi:
59%
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↑ 80,000
- Polymarket
↑ 80,000 - Polymarket
1W
News
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Negative
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Vol.
·
Resolves Sep 14, 2026
Related News
Time left: 03d:17h:25m
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 September 7-13?
$
Intro
This market tracks the probability of Bitcoin reaching $80,000 between September 7th and 13th. Currently, the aggregated consensus across Polymarket, Limitless, and Opinion is 58.5% that it will. Resolution will be based on whether a 1-minute Binance BTC/USDT candle hits that price during the specified timeframe, as determined by Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candles (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). With a 41.5% probability, the second most likely outcome is that Bitcoin will dip to $76,000 during the same period. Keep an eye on trading activity during the week of September 7th, as the closing price on September 13th will be key to determining the outcome.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms consistently define resolution based on Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle high/low prices within the specified date range.Primary resolution logic: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candles (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT)Core resolution logic:
- Resolution is determined by whether any 1-minute Binance BTC/USDT candle between 12:00 AM ET on September 7th and 11:59 PM ET on September 13th reaches or exceeds the target price (for 'reach' markets).
- Resolution is determined by whether any 1-minute Binance BTC/USDT candle between 12:00 AM ET on September 7th and 11:59 PM ET on September 13th reaches or falls below the target price (for 'dip' markets).
Edge cases & clarifications:
- Exact Price Match: If a 1-minute candle's high/low *exactly* matches the target price, the market resolves to 'Yes'.
- Multiple Matches: If the target price is hit multiple times within the timeframe, the market still only resolves once to 'Yes'.
Polymarket
What price will Bitcoin hit September 7-13?
Limitless
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Opinion
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if, during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last date), any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT reaches the price specified in the title in the specified direction — for an "above" market, a final "High" price equal to or greater than that price; for a "below" market, a final "Low" price equal to or less than that price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Frequently asked questions
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price will be determined by the average Bitcoin price across major exchanges during the specified timeframe, September 7th to 13th. This ensures a transparent and objective assessment of the market's accuracy. Traders should monitor price data from reputable sources as the resolution date approaches to understand how the actual outcome aligns with the predictions reflected in this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before Sep 14, 2026. Major news events related to cryptocurrency regulation, macroeconomic indicators like inflation data, and significant adoption announcements could all influence trader sentiment. Unexpected events, such as security breaches at major exchanges or geopolitical instability, could also trigger price volatility. Furthermore, technical analysis patterns and large whale movements in the Bitcoin market are closely watched by traders and could lead to shifts in the probabilities reflected in this market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential price fluctuations.
