TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 12:13 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for ETH/BTC during the specified date range (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High prices, below for ↓ Low prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/BTC "High" and "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_BTC, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/BTC trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for ETH/BTC during the specified date range (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High prices, below for ↓ Low prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/BTC "High" and "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_BTC, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/BTC trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Currently, prediction market odds reflect what traders believe is the likelihood of ETH/BTC hitting a certain price range during the specified period. These expectations aren’t necessarily aligned with traditional spot price forecasts from analysts or polls. This market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, potentially revealing insights different from those found in conventional financial analysis. The market's price action can be seen as a probabilistic forecast, weighing various factors influencing the ETH/BTC exchange rate and providing a unique perspective on potential price movements.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the ETH/BTC price during the October 19-25 period is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the average ETH/BTC price during that timeframe, as determined by a widely-recognized and publicly available data source. The market will then pay out to those who correctly predicted whether ETH/BTC reached the specified price level, based on their holdings of 'yes' or 'no' shares.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before Oct 26, 2026. Major news regarding Ethereum or Bitcoin, such as regulatory announcements, technological developments (like upgrades to either blockchain), or significant adoption events, could all influence the ETH/BTC price. Broader macroeconomic trends, like changes in interest rates or inflation, and overall investor sentiment towards cryptocurrencies will also play a role. Unexpected events, such as hacks or security breaches affecting either network, could also lead to substantial price movements and shifts in this market.