TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 7:17 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for ETH/BTC during the specified date range (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High prices, below for ↓ Low prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/BTC "High" and "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_BTC, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/BTC trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for ETH/BTC during the specified date range (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High prices, below for ↓ Low prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/BTC "High" and "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_BTC, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/BTC trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about whether ETH/BTC will reach 0.0310 between October 12-18. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective wisdom of the crowd. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the price gets to the target range, the higher the share price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds continuously adjust to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the ETH/BTC price during the October 12-18 period is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the average ETH/BTC price during that specified week. If the price reaches 0.0310 or higher at any point during that period, the market will settle in favor of the 'Yes' outcome. Otherwise, it will settle in favor of 'No'. Traders should monitor external sources for confirmation of the final price.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Major news regarding Ethereum or Bitcoin, such as regulatory changes, technological advancements (like the Dencun upgrade), or large institutional investments, could all impact the ETH/BTC price. Broader macroeconomic factors, like interest rate decisions or shifts in global risk appetite, could also play a role. Unexpected events affecting the crypto market as a whole, such as a major exchange hack or a significant security breach, could also cause substantial price fluctuations and, therefore, shifts in this market.