TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$192,072,993
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,842,388,377
408,027
Markets across
40,419
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
↑ 0.0320
- Polymarket
↑ 0.0320 - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 9, 2026
Time left: 06d:10h:56m
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This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for ETH/BTC during the specified date range (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High prices, below for ↓ Low prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/BTC "High" and "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_BTC, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/BTC trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for ETH/BTC during the specified date range (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High prices, below for ↓ Low prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/BTC "High" and "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_BTC, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/BTC trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Currently, prediction market odds reflect a collective forecast about the ETH/BTC price that may differ from those found in traditional spot markets or analyst predictions. This market aggregates the views of diverse traders, potentially incorporating information not immediately reflected in conventional price discovery mechanisms. If a significant number of traders believe ETH/BTC will rise, the odds will shift accordingly, potentially signaling a bullish outlook. Conversely, bearish sentiment will drive odds in the opposite direction. It's a fascinating way to gauge the wisdom of the crowd regarding this cryptocurrency pair.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about whether ETH/BTC will reach a specific price level by Nov 9, 2026. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares bought for a particular outcome, the higher the price rises, indicating increasing confidence in that prediction. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds continuously adapt to new information and changing sentiment among traders.
This market resolves around Nov 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the ETH/BTC price during the specified November 2-8 period is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price will be determined by a reputable source for cryptocurrency exchange rates, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process. Traders who correctly predicted the ETH/BTC price range will receive a payout based on the odds at the time of their trade, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake. The resolution process will be clearly communicated on Polymarket.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Nov 9, 2026. Major news regarding Ethereum or Bitcoin, such as regulatory announcements, technological upgrades (like the Dencun upgrade for Ethereum), or security breaches, would likely cause volatility. Macroeconomic factors, including interest rate decisions or inflation data, could also influence investor sentiment and impact the ETH/BTC price. Unexpected shifts in market sentiment, driven by influential figures or large-scale trading activity, could also trigger substantial price movements in this market.