TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 2, 12:00 AM EST
Limitless
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
On Limitless, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders can buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the Bitcoin price. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating greater confidence in that outcome. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate forecasts, as profitable trades are rewarded. The market’s efficiency relies on informed participants actively updating their positions as new information becomes available, creating a dynamic reflection of collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the Bitcoin price during the specified period (October 26th to November 1st) is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the closing price of Bitcoin on a major exchange, as determined by the platform’s standard procedures. This ensures a transparent and objective assessment of whether the forecasts made within this market were accurate, offering valuable insights into the power of predictive markets.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Nov 2, 2026. Major macroeconomic announcements, such as inflation data or interest rate decisions, often impact Bitcoin’s price. Regulatory developments, particularly regarding cryptocurrency legislation, could also trigger substantial shifts in sentiment. Unexpected news related to major Bitcoin holders or technological advancements within the cryptocurrency space could also influence trading activity. Geopolitical events and broader market risk sentiment are additional factors that could drive price fluctuations and, consequently, impact this market.