TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 12:00 AM EST
Limitless
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
On Limitless, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different Bitcoin price ranges, and the prices of these contracts fluctuate based on supply and demand. This creates a real-time market for forecasting the price. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price discovery process reflects the aggregated beliefs of all participants, and the implied probability of each outcome is derived from the contract prices. Higher volume in a particular price range indicates stronger conviction among traders.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the Bitcoin price during the specified period (October 19-25) is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the closing price of Bitcoin on major exchanges during that timeframe. The market will determine which price range has been achieved, and payouts will be distributed to those who correctly predicted the outcome. Traders should monitor reliable financial news sources as the resolution date approaches to stay informed.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Major macroeconomic announcements, such as interest rate decisions or inflation data, often impact Bitcoin's price. Regulatory developments, particularly regarding cryptocurrency legislation, could also cause substantial shifts in market sentiment. Unexpected news related to Bitcoin adoption by institutions or large corporations could drive prices higher, while security breaches or negative press could lead to declines. Geopolitical events and overall risk appetite in financial markets are also key factors to watch as we approach Oct 26, 2026.