TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
↓ 76,000
all
3 markets
Polymarket
Limitless
Opinion
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 9, 2026
Time left: 06d:07h:17m
$
These markets ask whether the price of Bitcoin, as measured by the BTC/USDT trading pair on Binance, will reach specific price levels (both above and below) between November 2nd and November 8th. Markets are structured as 'yes' if the price is hit at any point during the specified timeframe, and 'no' otherwise.
What price will Bitcoin hit November 2-8?
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if, during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last date), any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT reaches the price specified in the title in the specified direction — for an "above" market, a final "High" price equal to or greater than that price; for a "below" market, a final "Low" price equal to or less than that price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Polymarket and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Limitless in the Bitcoin price market can arise from several factors. Different user bases on each platform may have varying risk appetites and information access, influencing their predictions. Trading mechanisms and fee structures also differ, potentially impacting price discovery. Furthermore, the specific markets offered on each platform – such as Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 November 2-8? versus What price will Bitcoin hit November 2-8?: ↓ 76,000 – can lead to divergent pricing even for the same underlying event. These factors contribute to a dynamic interplay of opinions reflected in the prices observed across both platforms.
This market resolves around Nov 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price of Bitcoin between November 2nd and November 8th will be determined by a widely-recognized and publicly available source for Bitcoin pricing data. The market will settle based on that established price, providing a clear and objective outcome for all participants. This ensures a transparent and reliable resolution process for this market.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Major macroeconomic announcements, such as interest rate decisions from central banks, could influence investor sentiment towards risk assets like Bitcoin. Regulatory developments, including potential approvals or restrictions on Bitcoin ETFs, are also key catalysts. Unexpected geopolitical events or significant technological advancements related to blockchain technology could also drive price movements. Furthermore, large-scale adoption announcements from institutions or corporations could positively influence the price, while negative news regarding security breaches or exchange failures could have the opposite effect.