TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 11:07 PM EST
Opinion
An "↑" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "High" for Apple (AAPL) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an "↓" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "Low" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve "No". In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Apple (AAPL), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/. If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Apple (AAPL) trades governs.
An "↑" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "High" for Apple (AAPL) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an "↓" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "Low" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve "No". In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Apple (AAPL), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/. If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Apple (AAPL) trades governs.
Currently, prediction market participants are expressing their views on Apple’s stock price in October 2026. These views are often compared to traditional analyst forecasts, which rely on financial modeling and company reports. While analysts may offer point estimates or ranges, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, reflecting a broader range of perspectives and potential scenarios. It’s important to note that prediction markets can sometimes offer an earlier signal of changing expectations than traditional forecasts, as they react quickly to new information and evolving sentiment.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different Apple stock prices. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that specific price being reached. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price movements are driven by supply and demand; if more traders believe the stock will rise, the price of higher-priced contracts increases, and vice versa. This creates a dynamic pricing system that adapts to new information and changing market sentiment, offering a forward-looking view of Apple's potential stock performance.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the closing price of Apple (AAPL) stock on the Friday of the week of October 19, 2026. This price will be sourced from a widely recognized financial data provider and will determine which contracts payout based on their respective price points. The market’s resolution is designed to be objective and transparent, relying on publicly available data to determine the winning outcomes.
Several factors could significantly move this market before Oct 23, 2026. Major announcements from Apple regarding new products, earnings reports, or strategic shifts in the company’s direction will undoubtedly influence trader sentiment. Broader economic conditions, such as changes in interest rates, inflation, or overall market trends, could also play a role. Unexpected geopolitical events or significant disruptions in the technology sector could also lead to substantial price movements in this market, as traders adjust their expectations based on evolving circumstances.