TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 4, 11:01 PM EST
Opinion
An "↑" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "High" for Apple (AAPL) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an "↓" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "Low" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve "No". In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Apple (AAPL), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/. If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Apple (AAPL) trades governs.
An "↑" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "High" for Apple (AAPL) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an "↓" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "Low" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve "No". In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Apple (AAPL), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/. If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Apple (AAPL) trades governs.
On Opinion, the odds from this market often reflect a blend of trader sentiment and short-term technical expectations, which can diverge from longer-term analyst forecasts. While analysts may consider fundamentals and macro trends, prediction market odds capture immediate market momentum and speculative interest. Comparing the two offers a view of whether traders are more bullish or bearish than institutional research houses.
This market resolves around Sep 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will compare Apple’s closing price during the specified week against the market’s listed targets. The process ensures an objective, data-driven resolution, eliminating ambiguity about which price tier the company achieves. As the resolution date nears, market participants will watch for any last-minute price movements or announcements that could affect the final result.
Several signals could shift probabilities in this market before Sep 4, 2026. Apple earnings reports, product announcements, or major financial performance updates often drive investor sentiment and affect stock price trajectories. Broader economic indicators—such as interest rate decisions, inflation data, or geopolitical developments—may also influence Apple’s share price. Additionally, market volatility spikes or sector-wide shifts can reprice risk perceptions, altering trader expectations for where Apple will close in that target week. Any surprise news could cause rapid rebalancing of odds.