TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 21, 11:02 PM EST
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Opinion
Description
An "↑" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "High" for Apple (AAPL) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an "↓" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "Low" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve "No". In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Apple (AAPL), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/. If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Apple (AAPL) trades governs.
Opinion
An "↑" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "High" for Apple (AAPL) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an "↓" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "Low" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve "No". In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Apple (AAPL), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/. If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Apple (AAPL) trades governs.
Frequently asked questions
On Opinion, the current odds reflect a market-driven outlook that can diverge from traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may publish their price targets or confidence intervals, this market incorporates real-time trader sentiment, news flow, and macroeconomic signals. That means odds here can shift faster than slower-moving research reports, often capturing short-term expectations or risk adjustments not yet reflected in consensus analyst views.
On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Opinion, traders actively buy and sell contracts tied to possible Apple price outcomes. The platform’s pricing mechanism determines implied probabilities based on the flow of bets and available volume of $0. These probabilities adjust instantly to supply and demand, letting the market price in collective expectations about Apple’s performance for the target week.
This market resolves around Aug 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price will be checked against reliable sources at the close of the specified week, and the market will settle accordingly based on that verified figure.
