TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 11:08 PM EST
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Opinion
Description
An "↑" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "High" for Amazon (AMZN) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an "↓" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "Low" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve "No". In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Amazon (AMZN), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon (AMZN) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/. If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Amazon (AMZN) trades governs.
Opinion
An "↑" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "High" for Amazon (AMZN) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an "↓" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "Low" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve "No". In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Amazon (AMZN), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon (AMZN) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/. If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Amazon (AMZN) trades governs.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, analysts have a wide range of price targets for Amazon in late 2026. Some predict continued growth, while others foresee a more moderate increase or even a potential decline. This market offers a different perspective, aggregating the wisdom of the crowd to generate a probability-weighted forecast. Unlike static analyst predictions, the odds in this market dynamically adjust as new information becomes available and traders revise their expectations. It’s a real-time assessment of future probabilities, distinct from point estimates provided by traditional financial analysis.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different Amazon stock prices. The price of a contract reflects the probability that Amazon’s stock will be above that price at the specified time. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders’ actions – their willingness to buy or sell – directly influence the implied probabilities and the overall market price. This creates a dynamic and efficient price discovery mechanism, driven by the collective intelligence of participants.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Amazon (AMZN) stock on the Friday of the week of October 19, 2026, will be used to determine the winning price level. The market will settle based on this publicly available data point, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders will be able to see the final settlement price shortly after market close on that day.
Several factors could significantly impact the Amazon stock price market. Major economic shifts, such as changes in interest rates or inflation, could influence investor sentiment. Company-specific news, including earnings reports, new product launches, or significant acquisitions, will also be key drivers. Unexpected regulatory changes or geopolitical events could also introduce volatility. Furthermore, broader market trends and competitor performance will play a role in shaping the probabilities reflected in this market, creating opportunities for informed traders.
