TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 21, 11:02 PM EST
Opinion
An "↑" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "High" for Amazon (AMZN) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an "↓" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "Low" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve "No". In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Amazon (AMZN), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon (AMZN) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/. If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Amazon (AMZN) trades governs.
An "↑" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "High" for Amazon (AMZN) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an "↓" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "Low" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve "No". In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Amazon (AMZN), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon (AMZN) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/. If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Amazon (AMZN) trades governs.
Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds offer a real-time aggregate of trader expectations and betting behavior. While analysts may publish target prices or trend assessments based on fundamentals and models, this market reflects crowd-sourced probability weighting. Traders can watch how shifts in public sentiment or macro news influence odds, sometimes diverging from or reinforcing analyst consensus.
On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Opinion, traders manually place bets that directly set the market’s implied probability distribution. The current odds represent a balance of buy and sell orders, with liquidity concentrated around the most actively traded price points. As new information emerges — such as earnings reports or macro announcements — participants adjust their positions, causing the market price to shift accordingly.
This market resolves around Aug 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will see the final share price checked against official exchange data for the specified week, determining which priced outcome matches reality. The process is automatic once the relevant week concludes and sources are validated.
Several signals could shift this market before it closes: major Amazon earnings releases, unexpected macroeconomic announcements, regulatory developments affecting tech stocks, or broad market volatility. Any news that influences investor sentiment toward Amazon’s valuation — whether sector-specific or economy-wide — may cause traders to reprice odds, moving the implied probability curve upward or downward depending on expectations.