TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 12:41 PM EST
Opinion
In the upcoming KPL best-of-series match scheduled for 2026-10-16 09:00 UTC: if Hero JiuJing wins the series, the market will resolve to "Hero JiuJing"; if Weibo Gaming wins the series, the market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming". The series winner is the first team to win a majority of games. Individual games remade due to technical issues do not count as wins toward the series. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. In cases where a team's listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://kpl.qq.com. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
In the upcoming KPL best-of-series match scheduled for 2026-10-16 09:00 UTC: if Hero JiuJing wins the series, the market will resolve to "Hero JiuJing"; if Weibo Gaming wins the series, the market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming". The series winner is the first team to win a majority of games. Individual games remade due to technical issues do not count as wins toward the series. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. In cases where a team's listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://kpl.qq.com. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Currently, it's difficult to directly compare the odds on Opinion to external analyst forecasts, as there is limited publicly available data on expert predictions for this specific League of Legends match. However, prediction markets often aggregate diverse information and can reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' effect, potentially offering a different perspective than individual analyst opinions. It’s important to consider that analysts may have biases or differing methodologies, while this market represents the collective judgment of traders willing to put their capital at risk.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the League of Legends match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and participant sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official results of the League of Legends match between Weibo Gaming and Hero JiuJing, as reported by the game's governing body. The winning team, as determined by the official match outcome, will be the basis for settlement. Traders will then be paid out according to their positions in the market, based on the final result.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or unexpected roster changes could influence trader sentiment. In-game performance during other matches leading up to the event, or announcements about patch updates affecting the game's meta, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, significant bets placed by influential traders on Opinion could cause noticeable price movements, reflecting a change in perceived probabilities for this League of Legends match.