TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Walmart (WMT) Q2 US eCommerce sales growth __?
polymarket

Walmart (WMT) Q2 US eCommerce sales growth __?

Volume:
$18,863

<25%

 - Polymarket

<25% - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 21, 2026

Closed: Aug 21, 3:38 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

<25%

View
100%
80%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$8,914
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

25%-29%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,539
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

29%-33%

0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$901
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

37%+

0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$885
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

33%-37%

0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$623
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve according to Walmart's Q2 US eCommerce sales growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to Walmart's Q2 US eCommerce sales growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the Walmart eCommerce growth market dashboard shows real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $2,635. This single-venue view updates continuously as traders bet on whether Walmart's Q2 US eCommerce sales growth will meet certain thresholds. The interface provides a clear snapshot of market sentiment without combining data from any other source.

This market resolves around Aug 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will rely on officially released financial data and widely accepted news sources, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process for all participants on Polymarket.

Key catalysts include Walmart's official earnings release, preliminary sales data leaks, macroeconomic reports affecting consumer spending, and competitor performance news. Any surprise guidance or market conditions impacting US online retail could shift trader sentiment. Monitoring earnings call previews, economic indicators, and sector-wide news will help anticipate potential moves in this market ahead of its resolution date.