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$1,441,166,947

406,422

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Walmart (WMT) Q2 US comparable sales (ex-fuel) growth?
polymarket

Walmart (WMT) Q2 US comparable sales (ex-fuel) growth?

Volume:
$6,564

<3%

 - Polymarket

<3% - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 20, 2026

Closed: Aug 20, 9:20 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

<3%

View
100%
96%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,546
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

3%-4.5%

View
0%
85%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,261
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

4.5%-6%

View
0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$756
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

6%-7.5%

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$571
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

7.5%+

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$430
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve according to Walmart's Q2 Walmart U.S. comparable sales (ex-fuel) growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to Walmart's Q2 Walmart U.S. comparable sales (ex-fuel) growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Walmart sales growth market shows real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume on Polymarket. It tracks how traders price the likelihood of Walmart achieving certain comparable sales growth thresholds for the Q2 US period. You can see current momentum and volume of $1,706 to gauge market interest.

This market resolves around Aug 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final figure will be based on Walmart’s official Q2 earnings release, specifically the US comparable sales growth excluding fuel, and the market will close accordingly.

Several key developments could shift this market before it settles around Aug 20, 2026. Unexpected macro announcements — such as major shifts in consumer confidence or discretionary spending — may alter expectations for retail performance. Quarterly earnings reports from key competitors can also create ripple effects, framing expectations for Walmart’s results. Finally, any supply-chain updates or inventory adjustments disclosed in pre-release webinars would directly influence trader positioning, potentially creating rapid swings in odds as new data emerges.