TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
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2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 12:39 AM EST
Polymarket
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Hip-Hop. If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Hip-Hop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Hip-Hop. If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Hip-Hop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its shares will climb. Conversely, if sentiment shifts, prices will adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic and real-time assessment of the potential winner of the VMA Best Hip-Hop award. This pricing mechanism allows for efficient information aggregation.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official announcement of the winner of the Best Hip-Hop award at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards. The platform will verify the results against official sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will receive a payout based on the final market odds at the time of resolution, while those who backed the losing outcome will forfeit their stake.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. New album releases from major hip-hop artists, critical acclaim, chart performance, and social media buzz are all potential catalysts. Major endorsements or collaborations could also shift sentiment. Unexpected events, such as controversies or artist appearances, could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, any news regarding the MTV Video Music Awards themselves, like performer announcements or changes to the award categories, could move this market. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding potential shifts in the odds.