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406,065

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VMA Best Choreography 2026
polymarket

Who will win VMA Best Choreography?

Volume:
$7,517

Confessions II – The Film (Madonna)

 - Polymarket

Confessions II – The Film (Madonna) - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 28, 2026

Closed: Sep 28, 12:38 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Confessions II – The Film (Madonna)

View
100%
97%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$962
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Storm (Gener8ion featuring Yung Lean)

View
0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,043
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Pinky Up (Katseye)

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,680
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Dance No More (Harry Styles)

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,593
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Nobody's Girl (Tate McRae)

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$874
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift)

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0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$365
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

A

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No
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B

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100¢
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No
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C

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No
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D

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No
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E

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No
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No
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No
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No
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M

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N

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No
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O

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No
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P

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No
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Q

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No
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R

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No
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S

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Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 33

Description

The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Choreography. If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Choreography when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Choreography. If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Choreography when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals interesting insights into collective wisdom versus expert opinion. Currently, it's difficult to find direct analyst predictions for the 2026 VMA Best Choreography award, as forecasts this far in advance are rare. However, looking at past VMA award predictions, analysts often focus on critical reception and popularity, while this market reflects a broader range of factors, including potential surprise wins and late-breaking momentum. Discrepancies between the two can highlight areas where the market anticipates outcomes differently than traditional media or industry experts.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the potential winners. The current price of shares indicates the market's collective expectation for each artist's chances of winning the VMA Best Choreography award.

This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official announcement of the VMA Best Choreography winner at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on the official results released by MTV and widely reported by reputable news sources. Traders should monitor these sources around the resolution date to understand how this market will be settled.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Major music video releases from potential nominees, critical acclaim for choreography in those videos, and shifts in artist popularity are all key catalysts. Any announcements regarding artist performances at the VMAs could also influence the market, as visibility often impacts voting. Unexpected collaborations or viral dance trends associated with specific artists could also create momentum. Finally, any news regarding the health or availability of key choreographers or artists could also impact trading activity in this market.