TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 20, 9:50 AM EST
Polymarket
Nielsen updates its Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart on Thursdays, reflecting U.S. TV viewership data from the previous week (Monday-Sunday). This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+ average total viewers, P2+) of the highest viewed episode of ABC World News Tonight for the Week of August 10 - August 16, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart. This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution. If the specified show does not appear on the final chart for the specified week, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the data for the specified week is entirely unreleased by 11:59 PM ET on the second Thursday following the specified week, this market will resolve according to the lowest bracket. If the data for the specified week remains partially published (i.e. excluding certain days of the week) by that time, or if only some episodes of ABC World News Tonight appear on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, this market will resolve based on the viewership data available at that point. If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve according to Nielsen’s P2+ viewership statistic for the specified week, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, regardless of any future changes in methodology. If Nielsen ceases to publish the P2+ viewership statistic on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be information from Nielsen, specifically their P2+ viewership statistic as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart (see: https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#television).
Nielsen updates its Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart on Thursdays, reflecting U.S. TV viewership data from the previous week (Monday-Sunday). This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+ average total viewers, P2+) of the highest viewed episode of ABC World News Tonight for the Week of August 10 - August 16, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart. This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution. If the specified show does not appear on the final chart for the specified week, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the data for the specified week is entirely unreleased by 11:59 PM ET on the second Thursday following the specified week, this market will resolve according to the lowest bracket. If the data for the specified week remains partially published (i.e. excluding certain days of the week) by that time, or if only some episodes of ABC World News Tonight appear on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, this market will resolve based on the viewership data available at that point. If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve according to Nielsen’s P2+ viewership statistic for the specified week, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, regardless of any future changes in methodology. If Nielsen ceases to publish the P2+ viewership statistic on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be information from Nielsen, specifically their P2+ viewership statistic as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart (see: https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#television).
On Polymarket, the current odds reflect trader sentiment about ABC World News Tonight viewership this week. These odds can diverge from traditional analyst forecasts, which may be based on polling data, historical trends, or media reports. For example, if analysts predict a higher viewership due to a major news event, but traders assign lower probability to those ranges, this market may show a different expectation. Monitoring both sources helps identify potential shifts in public sentiment versus expert opinion.
This market resolves around Aug 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the viewership numbers for the week of August 10–16 are officially reported and verifiable from credible public sources. The final episode counts will determine which range — from the lowest to the highest — had the most viewers, settling all positions based on that verified result.
Several signals could shift this market before Aug 20, 2026. Major news stories, presidential addresses, or exclusive interviews scheduled for ABC World News Tonight may drive expected viewership upward. Conversely, competing events like sports finals or award shows airing the same night could lower anticipated audiences. Any surprise cancellations or changes to programming also may cause rapid price adjustments as traders reassess likely outcomes.