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US Dollar / South Korean Won (USD/KRW) Up or Down on September 8?
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US Dollar / South Korean Won (USD/KRW) Up or Down on September 8?

Volume:
$23

US Dollar / South Korean Won (USD/KRW) Up or Down on September 8?

 - Polymarket

US Dollar / South Korean Won (USD/KRW) Up or Down on September 8? - Polymarket

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Resolved Sep 8, 2026

Closed: Sep 8, 7:05 PM EST

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US Dollar / South Korean Won (USD/KRW) Up or Down on September 8?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the reference price for US Dollar / South Korean Won (USD/KRW) on September 8, 2026 is higher than the reference price for the most recent prior reference day. This market will resolve to "Down" if it is lower. If the two reference prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. For each day, the reference price is the "Close" value of the Pyth 1-minute candle timestamped 4:59 PM ET (covering 4:59:00–4:59:59 PM ET) on that date. Reference prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. A "reference day" is any day on which the applicable trading session for US Dollar / South Korean Won (USD/KRW), per the trading-hours schedule listed on Pyth, includes 4:59 PM ET. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its reference price, since weekend sessions (where applicable) do not include a 4:59 PM ET close; if that Friday were a market holiday, it would refer to the next most recent prior reference day. All times are Eastern Time, and each day refers to the Eastern Time calendar date. If no valid Pyth Close value exists for the 4:59 PM ET 1-minute candle on any day for which a reference price is being determined — including September 8, 2026 itself, such as on a day with shortened trading hours — the last valid Pyth price published prior to 5:00 PM ET on that date will be used as that day's reference price. If no valid Pyth price is published at all on the prior reference day — due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption — the next most recent prior reference day on which a valid Pyth price was published will be used in its place. If no valid Pyth price is published at all on September 8, 2026, or if September 8, 2026 is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Pyth, specifically the "Close" value of the relevant 1-minute candle for US Dollar / South Korean Won (USD/KRW) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/FX.USD%2FKRW. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the reference price for US Dollar / South Korean Won (USD/KRW) on September 8, 2026 is higher than the reference price for the most recent prior reference day. This market will resolve to "Down" if it is lower. If the two reference prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. For each day, the reference price is the "Close" value of the Pyth 1-minute candle timestamped 4:59 PM ET (covering 4:59:00–4:59:59 PM ET) on that date. Reference prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. A "reference day" is any day on which the applicable trading session for US Dollar / South Korean Won (USD/KRW), per the trading-hours schedule listed on Pyth, includes 4:59 PM ET. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its reference price, since weekend sessions (where applicable) do not include a 4:59 PM ET close; if that Friday were a market holiday, it would refer to the next most recent prior reference day. All times are Eastern Time, and each day refers to the Eastern Time calendar date. If no valid Pyth Close value exists for the 4:59 PM ET 1-minute candle on any day for which a reference price is being determined — including September 8, 2026 itself, such as on a day with shortened trading hours — the last valid Pyth price published prior to 5:00 PM ET on that date will be used as that day's reference price. If no valid Pyth price is published at all on the prior reference day — due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption — the next most recent prior reference day on which a valid Pyth price was published will be used in its place. If no valid Pyth price is published at all on September 8, 2026, or if September 8, 2026 is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Pyth, specifically the "Close" value of the relevant 1-minute candle for US Dollar / South Korean Won (USD/KRW) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/FX.USD%2FKRW. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for this market tracks the current odds that the USD/KRW exchange rate will be higher or lower on September 8. You can see the implied probability of each outcome, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $23. Total volume for this market is $23. The dashboard provides a real-time view of how traders are assessing the potential movement of the USD/KRW exchange rate, offering a dynamic perspective on market sentiment.

Currently, prediction market participants are strongly indicating a specific direction for the USD/KRW exchange rate. It’s important to note that these predictions represent the collective wisdom of individuals wagering their own capital, which can differ from traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may offer opinions based on economic models and geopolitical factors, this market reflects a direct assessment of probability through financial commitment. Comparing these viewpoints can provide a more nuanced understanding of potential outcomes, though discrepancies may exist based on differing methodologies and information access.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about whether the USD/KRW exchange rate will be up or down on September 8. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, ultimately determining the implied probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all traders participating in this market, providing a real-time assessment of expectations.

This market resolves around Sep 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final USD/KRW exchange rate on September 8 will be compared to the current rate to determine whether the market resolves to 'Up' or 'Down'. This is based on publicly available financial data, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the resolved result.

Several factors could significantly influence the USD/KRW exchange rate and, consequently, this market. Major economic data releases from both the United States and South Korea, such as inflation reports, employment figures, or GDP growth, could trigger shifts in investor sentiment. Geopolitical events, including any developments related to North Korea or international trade negotiations, could also have a substantial impact. Unexpected policy changes from either central bank, or significant shifts in global risk appetite, are additional catalysts to watch that could move this market.