US Dollar / South Korean Won (USD/KRW) Up or Down on August 10? Odds & Prediction Markets

Name: US Dollar / South Korean Won (USD/KRW) Up or Down on August 10?
Start: 2026-08-07T12:01:11.000Z
End: 2026-08-10T21:00:00.000Z

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the reference price for US Dollar / South Korean Won (USD/KRW) on August 10, 2026 is higher than the reference price for the most recent prior reference day. This market will resolve to "Down" if it is lower. If the two reference prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. For each day, the reference price is the "Close" value of the Pyth 1-minute candle timestamped 4:59 PM ET (covering 4:59:00–4:59:59 PM ET) on that date. Reference prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. A "reference day" is any day on which the applicable trading session for US Dollar / South Korean Won (USD/KRW), per the trading-hours schedule listed on Pyth, includes 4:59 PM ET. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its reference price, since weekend sessions (where applicable) do not include a 4:59 PM ET close; if that Friday were a market holiday, it would refer to the next most recent prior reference day. All times are Eastern Time, and each day refers to the Eastern Time calendar date. If no valid Pyth Close value exists for the 4:59 PM ET 1-minute candle on any day for which a reference price is being determined — including August 10, 2026 itself, such as on a day with shortened trading hours — the last valid Pyth price published prior to 5:00 PM ET on that date will be used as that day's reference price. If no valid Pyth price is published at all on the prior reference day — due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption — the next most recent prior reference day on which a valid Pyth price was published will be used in its place. If no valid Pyth price is published at all on August 10, 2026, or if August 10, 2026 is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Pyth, specifically the "Close" value of the relevant 1-minute candle for US Dollar / South Korean Won (USD/KRW) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/FX.USD%2FKRW. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the reference price for US Dollar / South Korean Won (USD/KRW) on August 10, 2026 is higher than the reference price for the most recent prior reference day. This market will resolve to "Down" if it is lower. If the two reference prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. For each day, the reference price is the "Close" value of the Pyth 1-minute candle timestamped 4:59 PM ET (covering 4:59:00–4:59:59 PM ET) on that date. Reference prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. A "reference day" is any day on which the applicable trading session for US Dollar / South Korean Won (USD/KRW), per the trading-hours schedule listed on Pyth, includes 4:59 PM ET. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its reference price, since weekend sessions (where applicable) do not include a 4:59 PM ET close; if that Friday were a market holiday, it would refer to the next most recent prior reference day. All times are Eastern Time, and each day refers to the Eastern Time calendar date. If no valid Pyth Close value exists for the 4:59 PM ET 1-minute candle on any day for which a reference price is being determined — including August 10, 2026 itself, such as on a day with shortened trading hours — the last valid Pyth price published prior to 5:00 PM ET on that date will be used as that day's reference price. If no valid Pyth price is published at all on the prior reference day — due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption — the next most recent prior reference day on which a valid Pyth price was published will be used in its place. If no valid Pyth price is published at all on August 10, 2026, or if August 10, 2026 is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Pyth, specifically the "Close" value of the relevant 1-minute candle for US Dollar / South Korean Won (USD/KRW) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/FX.USD%2FKRW. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the USD/KRW exchange rate market dashboard tracks the current odds and price history for whether the USD/KRW pair will be higher or lower on August 10. It also displays 24-hour volume of $142 and total volume of $142, letting you see how trader sentiment and market activity are evolving in real time.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds in this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of where the USD/KRW exchange rate is headed. While analysts may incorporate macro models and policy expectations, traders on Polymarket react to real-time news, flow data, and short-term positioning — sometimes leading to notable differences in implied direction and confidence levels.

This market resolves around Aug 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. On that date, the closing USD/KRW exchange rate will be checked against the market’s defined threshold to determine whether the pair closed higher or lower, finalizing the result for all open positions.

Key signals that could shift this market include U.S. Federal Reserve policy announcements, South Korean monetary policy decisions, geopolitical developments affecting capital flows, and broader risk-on or risk-off sentiment in global forex markets. Domestic economic data releases from either country — such as inflation figures, employment reports, or trade balances — may also cause rapid re-pricing as traders adjust expectations for currency strength.

US Dollar / South Korean Won (USD/KRW) Up or Down on August 10?

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