TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Total commitments for the Jumper ($JUMP) public sale on Legion
polymarket

Will commitments for Jumper exceed the value?

Volume:
$181,386

>40M

 - Polymarket

>40M - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 6, 2026

Closed: Oct 2, 7:31 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

>40M

View
100%
63%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$29,057
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

>45M

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14,690
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

>10M

View
100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11,815
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

>20M

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,444
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

>35M

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,444
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

>30M

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,113
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

>5M

View
100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,613
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

>25M

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,144
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

>4M

View
100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,898
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

>7M

View
100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,584
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

>15M

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,359
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

>1M

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,263
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

>2M

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$498
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

>3M

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$387
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

>50M

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$63,547
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

>60M

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,529
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 16

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if total commitments for the Jumper raise on Legion exceeds the listed value at any point before October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the total committed value displayed on the official Jumper sale page on Legion at https://app.legion.cc/app/invest/jumper. If the displayed figure exceeds the listed value at any point before October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of subsequent refunds or cancellations. A displayed figure exactly equal to the listed value will not qualify. If the sale is on hold and no commitment total is verifiable by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the raise event is otherwise cancelled or rescheduled to a time past that date, this market resolves to "No". If requisite information for this market's resolution becomes permanently unavailable within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". If the sale begins and is extended before the official closing time, commitments made during the extended period will count toward resolution, provided the displayed figure exceeds the listed value before October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if total commitments for the Jumper raise on Legion exceeds the listed value at any point before October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the total committed value displayed on the official Jumper sale page on Legion at https://app.legion.cc/app/invest/jumper. If the displayed figure exceeds the listed value at any point before October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of subsequent refunds or cancellations. A displayed figure exactly equal to the listed value will not qualify. If the sale is on hold and no commitment total is verifiable by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the raise event is otherwise cancelled or rescheduled to a time past that date, this market resolves to "No". If requisite information for this market's resolution becomes permanently unavailable within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". If the sale begins and is extended before the official closing time, commitments made during the extended period will count toward resolution, provided the displayed figure exceeds the listed value before October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Jumper public sale tracks the current odds of exceeding various commitment thresholds. You’ll find a dynamic price representing the probability of the total commitments reaching specific levels. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour volume traded in this market, currently at $1,902, and the overall volume since the market opened, totaling $181,386. This allows traders to quickly gauge market sentiment and activity surrounding the Jumper public sale.

Currently, prediction market odds offer a unique perspective compared to pre-sale expectations and analyst forecasts. While traditional analysis might focus on project fundamentals and community sentiment, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, reflecting a real-money assessment of the Jumper public sale’s success. The current implied probability, as expressed through trading on Polymarket, provides a forward-looking view that differs from static pre-sale estimates. It's a valuable signal for those following the crypto space.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where participants buy and sell shares representing their belief about the total commitments for the Jumper public sale. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price reflects the collective judgment of traders on Polymarket regarding the likelihood of different outcomes, and is subject to change as new information becomes available or sentiment shifts.

This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total commitments for the Jumper public sale are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final amount committed will be compared against the various thresholds defined within the market to determine which outcome is realized. Resolution will be based on publicly available data from Legion regarding the Jumper public sale, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result for all participants in this market.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Major announcements from the Jumper team regarding partnerships or technological advancements could shift sentiment. Broader market conditions within the crypto space, such as a bull or bear trend, would likely influence trading activity. Unexpected news related to Legion, the platform hosting the sale, could also play a role. Finally, any reports concerning the overall demand or participation in the Jumper public sale itself will be closely watched by traders on Polymarket.