TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Top Spotify Artist in October?
polymarket

Top Spotify Artist in October?

Volume:
$8,129

Bruno Mars

 - Polymarket

Bruno Mars - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 31, 2026

Closed: Oct 31, 2:27 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Bruno Mars

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,542
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Taylor Swift

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$591
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

The Weeknd

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$471
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Lady Gaga

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$464
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ariana Grande

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$461
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Rihanna

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$461
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Coldplay

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$461
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ed Sheeran

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$453
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Billie Eilish

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$427
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Bad Bunny

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$381
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Shakira

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$381
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Michael Jackson

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$361
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Justin Bieber

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$361
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Drake

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$314
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Artist B

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Artist C

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Artist D

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Artist E

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Artist F

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 20

Description

This market will resolve according to the listed artist with the greatest number of monthly listeners according to Spotify on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not count towards the featured artist's total. In the event of an exact tie for the number of monthly listeners, this market will resolve in favor of the listed artist whose name comes first in alphabetical order. If Spotify is down at the listed time on the listed date, this market will resolve based on the most recent available data. The resolution source for this market will be Spotify. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the listed artist with the greatest number of monthly listeners according to Spotify on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not count towards the featured artist's total. In the event of an exact tie for the number of monthly listeners, this market will resolve in favor of the listed artist whose name comes first in alphabetical order. If Spotify is down at the listed time on the listed date, this market will resolve based on the most recent available data. The resolution source for this market will be Spotify. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.

Frequently asked questions

Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals interesting insights into collective intelligence versus expert opinion. Often, this market reflects a broader range of factors than traditional forecasts, incorporating real-time data and diverse perspectives. While analysts may focus on established stars, the market can quickly adjust to emerging trends or viral moments. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, with the market sometimes identifying under- or over-valued artists compared to conventional wisdom. This difference highlights the predictive power of aggregating many individual opinions.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each artist’s likelihood of topping the Spotify charts. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that artist winning, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares of a particular artist, the price increases, indicating growing confidence. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic creates a constantly updating assessment of the most likely outcome, driven entirely by trader activity.

This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the artist with the highest total streams on Spotify during the month of October will be declared the winner. Data will be sourced from publicly available Spotify statistics and verified against credible public sources to ensure accuracy. The resolution process focuses on objectively determining the most streamed artist, providing a clear and transparent outcome for this market.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 31, 2026. A major album release from a top contender, a viral TikTok trend featuring a specific artist’s song, or a high-profile concert tour could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected collaborations or controversies surrounding artists could also have a substantial impact. Furthermore, changes in Spotify’s algorithm or playlist curation could influence streaming numbers. Monitoring these factors and tracking artist engagement across social media will be crucial for understanding potential market movements.