TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 18, 2:20 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to how much "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve according to how much "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
On Polymarket, the current odds reflect trader sentiment about the Oak Street opening weekend box office performance. These odds can diverge from traditional analyst forecasts, which may rely on different data sets or methodologies. Analysts often incorporate historical performance, genre trends, and pre-release buzz, while prediction markets aggregate real-time betting activity. As the release date approaches, shifts in early viewer reviews or marketing impact can cause rapid changes in market probabilities, sometimes aligning more closely or diverging further from expert predictions.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders continuously adjust the probability that the Oak Street opening weekend box office will meet or exceed the specified threshold. The current implied chance—derived from active buying and selling—shows where the market believes the outcome is most likely. Volume of $3,008 over the last 24 hours indicates liquidity and interest levels, allowing participants to place bets that reflect their outlook on audience reception and box office performance. This dynamic pricing captures collective expectations up until Aug 16, 2026.
This market resolves around Aug 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final box office numbers for the opening weekend will determine whether the market’s conditions are met, closing the market based on actual performance data.
Key signals that could shift this market include early audience reviews, pre-release marketing buzz, any last-minute changes to the release schedule, and early box office tracking data. Unexpected events such as competition from other releases or broader economic factors could also influence trader sentiment and move the odds before resolution.