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Tesla (TSLA) closes week of Sep 21 at ___?
polymarket

How will TSLA close the week of Sep 21?

Volume:
$3,206

$370-$375

 - Polymarket

$370-$375 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 25, 2026

Closed: Sep 25, 4:18 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$370-$375

View
100%
79%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,209
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$360-$365

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$748
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

>$385

View
0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$375-$380

View
0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<$340

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$340-$345

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$345-$350

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$350-$355

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$355-$360

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$380-$385

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$365-$370

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve according to the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Tesla stock market tracks the current probabilities of various price outcomes for TSLA at the close of trading on the week of September 21st. You'll find a visual representation of the odds, along with a price history chart showing how the market has priced in different scenarios over time. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $3,176, and the total volume traded to date, which is $3,206. This provides a clear overview of market sentiment and activity surrounding Tesla's stock performance.

Currently, the collective wisdom of traders in this market suggests a different outlook than many traditional analyst forecasts for Tesla. While some analysts maintain a bullish outlook, predicting continued growth, this market reflects a broader range of potential outcomes, including the possibility of a price decrease. It’s important to remember that analyst forecasts are often based on complex models and assumptions, whereas this market represents a real-money assessment of probabilities by a diverse group of participants. The comparison highlights the potential for prediction markets to offer a unique perspective on future events.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the closing price of Tesla stock. The price of these contracts directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of the corresponding contract will rise. Conversely, if sentiment shifts towards a different outcome, the price of that contract will decrease. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and collective intelligence of the participants.

This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Tesla (TSLA) stock on the final day of trading during the week of September 21st will be used to determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on a widely recognized financial data source to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the verified closing price at that time, reflecting the collective predictions made prior to resolution.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before it resolves. Major news regarding Tesla's production numbers, vehicle deliveries, or any unexpected announcements from the company could trigger substantial price movements. Broader economic indicators, such as inflation reports or interest rate decisions, could also impact investor sentiment towards growth stocks like Tesla. Additionally, any significant developments in the electric vehicle industry, including competitor announcements or regulatory changes, could shift the probabilities reflected in this market. Unexpected events, such as supply chain disruptions or geopolitical instability, could also play a role.