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Tesla (TSLA) closes above ___ on October 5?
polymarket

Will TSLA close above the price on October 5?

Volume:
$4,179

$370

 - Polymarket

$370 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 4:16 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$370

View
100%
34%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,005
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$340

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$123
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$350

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$117
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$360

100%
17%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$46
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$380

0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,887
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on October 5, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on October 5, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Tesla stock price market tracks the current implied probability of Tesla (TSLA) closing above a certain price on October 5. You'll find the current odds, a price history chart showing how the market has traded over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $1,541. The total volume traded on this market is $1,553. This provides a clear view of how traders are assessing the likelihood of the outcome and how actively the market is being traded.

Currently, prediction market participants are strongly indicating that Tesla (TSLA) will close above the specified price on October 5. This contrasts with some analyst forecasts, which present a wider range of potential outcomes. While some analysts share a bullish outlook, others express concerns about potential headwinds for the company. This market offers a real-time aggregate of informed opinion, reflecting the collective judgment of traders willing to put capital behind their beliefs, differing from static analyst reports.

This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official closing price of Tesla (TSLA) stock on October 5, as reported by a widely recognized financial data source. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts once the resolution process is complete. It is important to note the resolution is based on the closing price, not intraday fluctuations.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 5, 2026. Major company announcements from Tesla, such as earnings reports, vehicle delivery numbers, or updates on new technologies, could cause substantial price swings. Broader economic news, including interest rate decisions or shifts in investor sentiment towards growth stocks, could also play a role. Unexpected news related to the electric vehicle industry, regulatory changes, or competitor actions could also impact the market, as could any significant news regarding Elon Musk.