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Tesla (TSLA) closes above ___ on October 19?
polymarket

Will TSLA close above the price on October 19?

Volume:
$11,736

$360

 - Polymarket

$360 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 19, 2026

Closed: Oct 19, 4:16 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$360

View
100%
93%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,650
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$350

View
100%
64%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,710
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$370

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,892
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$380

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,126
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$390

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$357
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on October 19, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on October 19, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the TSLA closing price market tracks the current odds of Tesla (TSLA) closing above a specific price on October 19. You’ll find a price chart reflecting trader sentiment, as well as the 24-hour volume, which currently stands at $11,397. The total volume traded in this market is $11,736. This provides a real-time view of how the crowd is assessing the likelihood of the event occurring, and how much capital is backing each side of the prediction.

Currently, the implied probability from this market is being closely watched alongside traditional analyst price targets for Tesla. While analysts often provide a range of potential closing prices, this market offers a single, quantifiable probability based on the collective wisdom of traders. Discrepancies between the market’s prediction and analyst forecasts can highlight areas of disagreement or differing assumptions about factors influencing TSLA’s stock performance. It’s a fascinating comparison of expert opinion versus crowd-sourced forecasting.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of Tesla closing above the specified price on October 19. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. Higher demand for shares indicating a 'yes' outcome will drive up the price, while increased selling pressure will lower it. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information and changing sentiment.

This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The closing price of Tesla (TSLA) stock on October 19 will be the determining factor. If the official closing price is above the specified level, the market will settle in favor of the 'yes' outcome. Otherwise, it will settle in favor of the 'no' outcome. The resolution will be based on data from established financial exchanges and data providers.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Major news regarding Tesla’s production numbers, vehicle deliveries, or technological advancements would likely cause price fluctuations. Broader economic indicators, such as inflation reports or interest rate decisions, could also influence investor sentiment towards growth stocks like TSLA. Unexpected announcements from competitors or regulatory changes impacting the electric vehicle industry could also move this market. Any significant event affecting Tesla’s perceived future prospects has the potential to shift the odds.