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Tesla (TSLA) closes above ___ on October 12?
polymarket

Tesla (TSLA) closes above ___ on October 12?

Volume:
$7,379

$360

 - Polymarket

$360 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 12, 2026

Closed: Oct 12, 4:30 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$360

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$117
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$370

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$86
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$380

View
0%
70%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,714
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$400

View
0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$407
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$390

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$56
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on October 12, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on October 12, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the TSLA closing price market tracks the current odds of Tesla (TSLA) closing above a certain price on October 12. You’ll find a price chart reflecting trader sentiment, along with the total volume traded in this market, currently at $7,379, and the 24-hour volume, which is $7,069. This allows you to monitor how confidence in the outcome is changing and the level of activity surrounding this prediction.

Currently, the odds reflected in this market represent a collective forecast from a diverse group of traders. These predictions are often compared to those of financial analysts, who may offer price targets for TSLA based on fundamental and technical analysis. Discrepancies can arise due to differing methodologies and information access, but this market provides a real-time, financially incentivized view of what traders believe is most likely to happen with the TSLA closing price. It’s a unique perspective compared to traditional polls or expert opinions.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about whether TSLA will close above the specified price. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares bought, the higher the price, and vice versa, creating a dynamic and responsive market for predicting the future TSLA closing price.

This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official closing price of Tesla (TSLA) stock on October 12, as reported by a major financial exchange. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their shares align with the actual closing price, reflecting the accuracy of the market’s collective prediction.

Several factors could significantly influence this market. Major news regarding Tesla, such as earnings reports, product announcements, or changes in leadership, would likely cause price fluctuations. Broader market trends, including overall economic conditions and investor sentiment towards the technology sector, could also play a role. Unexpected events impacting the automotive industry or electric vehicle demand could also shift the odds in this market, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions about the TSLA closing price.