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$134.2b

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$134,145,987

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2,388,728,490

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$1,441,166,947

406,422

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2,688

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Tesla (TSLA) closes above ___ on August 31?
polymarket

Tesla (TSLA) closes above ___ on August 31?

Volume:
$4,698

$360

 - Polymarket

$360 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 31, 2026

Closed: Aug 31, 4:36 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$360

View
100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,955
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$350

100%
45%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$397
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$340

100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$146
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$380

0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$153
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$370

0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$47
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on August 31, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on August 31, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, this dashboard tracks the real-time odds and price history for the Tesla August close market, alongside 24-hour volume of $4,076. It shows how traders on Polymarket are positioning around Tesla’s closing price target for August 31. The page updates continuously, letting users see market momentum and liquidity changes without leaving the page.

Currently, this market reflects a strong bias toward Tesla closing above the target level, contrasting with some analyst forecasts that remain mixed. While Wall Street projections vary, the trading odds on Polymarket capture crowd-driven expectations that can diverge from traditional equity research. Investors often monitor this market to spot sentiment shifts before they appear in analyst updates or earnings calls.

This market resolves around Aug 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. On that day, Tesla’s final closing price will be checked against the target, and all contracts will settle automatically based on the verified result. Traders need only wait for the market close and the subsequent confirmation period to end.

Key signals that could shift this market include Tesla’s upcoming earnings release, changes in EV demand or supply chain updates, broader market volatility, and macro economic data affecting tech stocks. Any surprise guidance from management, regulatory news, or sector-wide shifts could also cause rapid price swings. Traders watching Polymarket should stay alert to news feeds and earnings calendars to anticipate movement.