TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 4:22 PM EST
Opinion
In the upcoming LES best-of-series match scheduled for 2026-09-06 10:00 UTC: if Movistar KOI Fénix wins the series, the market will resolve to "Movistar KOI Fénix"; if Team Heretics Academy wins the series, the market will resolve to "Team Heretics Academy". The series winner is the first team to win a majority of games. Individual games remade due to technical issues do not count as wins toward the series. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. In cases where a team's listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: official LES broadcast and https://lolesports.com. Note: Opinion will resolve this market strictly based on the first final result officially published or announced by a designated resolution source. Any subsequent revision, correction, or reversal will not affect the resolution.
In the upcoming LES best-of-series match scheduled for 2026-09-06 10:00 UTC: if Movistar KOI Fénix wins the series, the market will resolve to "Movistar KOI Fénix"; if Team Heretics Academy wins the series, the market will resolve to "Team Heretics Academy". The series winner is the first team to win a majority of games. Individual games remade due to technical issues do not count as wins toward the series. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. In cases where a team's listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: official LES broadcast and https://lolesports.com. Note: Opinion will resolve this market strictly based on the first final result officially published or announced by a designated resolution source. Any subsequent revision, correction, or reversal will not affect the resolution.
Currently, there isn't a readily available consensus from analysts regarding the outcome of this League of Legends match. However, it's common to see prediction markets, like this one on Opinion, diverge from initial expert opinions. This is because markets aggregate the wisdom of many individuals, potentially incorporating information not yet reflected in traditional analysis. If analyst forecasts become available, it will be interesting to compare them to the probabilities implied by the trading volume and price action observed within this market.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the collective belief of the participants about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means that as more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price and reduces the probability. The market efficiently incorporates new information as traders react to news and developments related to the teams involved.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Team Heretics Academy vs. Movistar KOI Fénix match. The platform will verify the outcome against reliable sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual result. Traders holding the winning contract will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their stake.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or unexpected roster changes for either Team Heretics Academy or Movistar KOI Fénix could shift the odds. Major upsets in other recent matches involving these teams, or announcements about patch updates to the game that favor one team’s playstyle, could also be influential. Even social media sentiment and public discussion surrounding the match could contribute to changes in trading volume and price action within this market.