TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 6:03 PM EST
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Opinion
Description
In the upcoming KPL best-of-series match scheduled for 2026-10-15 12:50 UTC: if TOP Esports Armor wins the series, the market will resolve to "TOP Esports Armor"; if Talent Gaming wins the series, the market will resolve to "Talent Gaming". The series winner is the first team to win a majority of games. Individual games remade due to technical issues do not count as wins toward the series. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. In cases where a team's listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://kpl.qq.com. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Opinion
In the upcoming KPL best-of-series match scheduled for 2026-10-15 12:50 UTC: if TOP Esports Armor wins the series, the market will resolve to "TOP Esports Armor"; if Talent Gaming wins the series, the market will resolve to "Talent Gaming". The series winner is the first team to win a majority of games. Individual games remade due to technical issues do not count as wins toward the series. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. In cases where a team's listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://kpl.qq.com. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, it’s difficult to directly compare prediction market odds to analyst forecasts for this event, as there is limited publicly available data on expert predictions for this specific League of Legends match. However, prediction markets often incorporate a wider range of information and perspectives than traditional analyst forecasts, potentially leading to different probabilities. This market reflects the collective wisdom of traders on Opinion, and it will be interesting to see how the final outcome aligns with, or diverges from, any published expert opinions.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the League of Legends match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a particular outcome is likely, the higher the price of the corresponding contract will rise. This creates a dynamic pricing mechanism that constantly adjusts to new information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the League of Legends match between Talent Gaming and TOP Esports Armor, as reported by the game’s official sources. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor official channels for the final match results to understand when the market will be finalized.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before its resolution. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or unexpected roster changes for either Talent Gaming or TOP Esports Armor could impact trading activity. In-game performance during the match itself, such as early game advantages or key player eliminations, would also likely cause shifts in the odds. Finally, significant public sentiment or high-profile analyst commentary could influence trader behavior and affect the price of contracts in this market.
