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$134,145,987

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2,388,728,490

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$1,441,166,947

406,422

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2,688

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5

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"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office (Lower Strikes)
polymarket

"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office (Lower Strikes)

Volume:
$80,670

70-72m

 - Polymarket

70-72m - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 18, 2026

Closed: Aug 17, 9:14 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

70-72m

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10,943
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

72m+

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30,424
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

68-70m

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,806
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<66m

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,860
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

66-68m

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,637
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, this dashboard tracks the latest odds and price movements for the Spider-Man box office market, alongside 24-hour volume of $22,831. It provides a live view of how traders on Polymarket are pricing the prospects for the film’s third weekend performance, showing shifts in sentiment as new data emerges.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced outlook shaped by real-time trading activity. While analysts may issue detailed projections based on historical data and market trends, this market captures the collective betting sentiment of participants, which can diverge based on recent events or hype cycles.

On Polymarket, traders set the odds for the Spider-Man box office market through continuous bidding. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current pricing reflects aggregated trader sentiment about the film's performance, influenced by recent box office reports, critical reception, and audience trends. Volume of $80,670 indicates market activity levels, while the top outcome shows the most probable result according to participants. This dynamic pricing updates in real time as new information emerges, allowing users to react quickly to shifting expectations.

This market resolves around Aug 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final box office numbers for the third weekend will be compared against the market’s defined thresholds, closing the market based on official industry data sources.

Several signals could shift this market before Aug 16, 2026. Key catalysts include weekend box office announcements, major media coverage of the film, surprise cast developments, or changes in release strategy by the studio. Positive or negative reviews rolling in could also sway trader sentiment. Competiting releases launching near the resolution window may draw audience attention away, impacting projections. Any official statements from the production team about re-releases or special events would likewise create volatility as participants reassess likely outcomes.