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399,592

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2,622

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5

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"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office (Lower Strikes)
polymarket

"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office (Lower Strikes)

Volume:
$148,357

140-150m

 - Polymarket

140-150m - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 10, 2026

Closed: Aug 10, 5:27 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

140-150m

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$39,260
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

150-160m

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$37,064
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

160-170m

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,218
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

130-140m

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,041
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

170-180m

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,775
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<130m

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,076
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

180m+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,922
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the Spider-Man box office market dashboard shows real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $34,136. This tool tracks trader sentiment around the film’s performance, offering a visual snapshot of how probabilities shift as new data emerges. The interface updates continuously, reflecting the latest activity and trends within short_topic, so users can monitor market movements and compare them against their own expectations.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders set the price through active buying and selling, which determines the current implied probability. The top outcome reflects the collective judgment of participants, adjusted for liquidity and recent trades. Volume of $148,356 supports these prices, and any sharp shifts in betting patterns or new information about the film’s performance can quickly alter the market’s outlook. The pricing mechanism captures real-time trader sentiment, often reacting faster than traditional polling or analysis.

This market resolves around Aug 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final box office numbers for the second weekend will be compared against the defined ranges to determine which side of the market is correct. Timing is tied to official release of the data, ensuring that all participants have access to the same verified information before the market settles.

Several signals could shift this market before it closes, including early weekend attendance reports, social media buzz, critical reviews, and competition from other releases. Any surprise changes in screening numbers or audience turnout can also influence trader sentiment. As the release date approaches, real-time box office tracking and pre-weekend estimates from industry sources may cause rapid adjustments in odds, especially if new data suggests a deviation from current market expectations.