TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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SPCX Up or Down - October 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
predict

Will SPCX/USDT be up or down?

Volume:
$495

SPCX Up or Down - October 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

 - Predict

SPCX Up or Down - October 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET - Predict

1W

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Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 26, 2026

Closed: Oct 26, 10:30 AM EST

predict

Predict

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predict

SPCX Up or Down - October 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$112
$495
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the SPCX/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the SPCX/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the SPCX/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/spcx-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink SPCX/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-26T14:15:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the SPCX/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the SPCX/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the SPCX/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/spcx-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink SPCX/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-26T14:15:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the SPCX stock market tracks the current odds of the stock closing up or down between 10:15 AM and 10:30 AM ET on October 26th. You'll find a price history showing how the probabilities have shifted over time, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $495. The total volume traded on this market is $495. This allows traders to see how much activity there is and gauge market sentiment regarding the likely direction of the stock during that specific timeframe.

Currently, prediction market odds reflect the collective wisdom of traders on Predict. These odds often differ from traditional analyst forecasts, as they incorporate a wider range of information and real-time sentiment. While analysts may provide price targets based on fundamental or technical analysis, this market represents a probabilistic view of whether the stock will be up or down within a very specific window. It’s common to see discrepancies, as prediction markets can react more quickly to new information and changing perceptions than slower-moving analyst reports.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of these contracts directly reflects the implied probability of the stock closing up or down during the specified period. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the aggregated sentiment. The current price indicates the market's expectation, and traders can profit by correctly predicting the outcome and taking the opposite side of the prevailing sentiment.

This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will depend on whether the SPCX stock price is higher or lower at 10:30 AM ET on October 26th compared to its price at 10:15 AM ET. The final price will be determined by standard market data feeds and will be publicly available. Traders will then be paid out based on their positions and the ultimate direction of the stock during that 15-minute window.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 26, 2026. Unexpected economic data releases, company-specific news regarding SPCX, or broader market sentiment shifts could all influence trader behavior. Any breaking news related to the company’s performance, industry trends, or regulatory changes could cause rapid price fluctuations. Furthermore, major geopolitical events or shifts in investor risk appetite could also impact the perceived probability of the stock moving up or down, leading to changes in the market’s price.