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S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 10?
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S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 10?

Volume:
$14,364

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 10?

 - Polymarket

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 10? - Polymarket

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Resolved Aug 10, 2026

Closed: Aug 10, 6:33 PM EST

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S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 10?

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0%
69%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
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$14,364
N/A
N/A
N/A
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Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on August 10 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on August 10 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official open/close price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If the previous trading day has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Open/Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on August 10 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on August 10 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official open/close price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If the previous trading day has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Open/Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

Frequently asked questions

This market resolves around Aug 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the actual direction of the S&P 500’s opening bell on that day, providing a clear, objective basis for settlement. Traders will see the market close and payouts processed shortly after the market opens, based on this verified data.

Key signals that could shift this market include major economic data releases such as nonfarm payrolls or inflation figures, Federal Reserve announcements, unexpected corporate earnings surprises, geopolitical developments, or sudden shifts in market sentiment influenced by tech sector performance. Any event that impacts overall market sentiment or expectations for the August 10 open may cause rapid re-pricing of odds on Polymarket as traders adjust positions in response.