TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q3 2026?
limitless

South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q3 2026?

Volume:
$146

3.0–3.4%

 - Limitless

3.0–3.4% - Limitless

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 26, 2026

Closed: Oct 26, 8:00 PM EST

limitless

Limitless

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
limitless

3.0–3.4%

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

5.0%+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

2.5–2.9%

0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$44
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

<2.0%

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

2.0–2.4%

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

3.5–3.9%

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

4.0–4.4%

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

4.5–4.9%

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Description

This market will resolve according to South Korea's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate (Year-on-Year, %) in Q3 of 2026, as reported in the Bank of Korea’s Real Gross Domestic Product (Advance Estimate) release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 27, 2026. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10 The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01

Limitless

This market will resolve according to South Korea's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate (Year-on-Year, %) in Q3 of 2026, as reported in the Bank of Korea’s Real Gross Domestic Product (Advance Estimate) release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 27, 2026. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10 The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01

Frequently asked questions

This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final GDP growth figure for Q3 2026 will be used to determine which market outcome aligns with the officially reported data, closing the market and settling all positions based on that verified result.

Several signals could influence this market before resolution, including key economic indicators such as manufacturing output, consumer spending data, and inflation figures from South Korea. Additionally, policy decisions by the Bank of Korea, international trade developments, and global economic shifts may impact expectations for GDP growth, causing fluctuations in market odds leading up to Oct 27, 2026.