TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 12:16 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Currently, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to typical spot price expectations derived from analysts or polls. While traditional forecasts might rely on fundamental or technical analysis, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, reflecting a diverse range of opinions and information. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk appetites, access to information, or simply varying interpretations of future events. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into the overall market sentiment surrounding Solana’s potential price movement.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of different Solana price ranges. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability distribution for the outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that price range being correct on October 8. The more traders believe a particular outcome is likely, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will climb.
This market resolves around Oct 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the price of Solana is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the price of Solana as recorded by a widely recognized and trusted data source at a specific point in time on October 8. The exact price used for resolution will be determined by the platform’s established procedures, ensuring a transparent and verifiable process. Traders should review the platform’s documentation for complete details regarding the resolution process.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 8, 2026. Major developments in the broader cryptocurrency market, such as Bitcoin price swings or regulatory announcements, could influence Solana’s price. Specific news related to the Solana ecosystem, including updates to the network, new decentralized application launches, or security breaches, would also be impactful. Macroeconomic factors, like inflation data or interest rate decisions, could also indirectly affect investor sentiment and, consequently, the Solana price. Unexpected events, such as large token unlocks or significant whale movements, could also trigger volatility.