TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 12:16 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Currently, prediction market odds offer a unique perspective compared to traditional spot price expectations. While spot prices reflect immediate buying and selling pressure, this market aggregates the beliefs of many traders regarding the future price of Solana. Discrepancies between the implied probability from this market and analyst forecasts or polls can highlight areas of disagreement or potentially overlooked factors influencing the price. It’s a way to gauge the wisdom of the crowd versus expert opinions on where Solana will be valued on October 6.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the Solana price. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability distribution for potential outcomes. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer we get to Oct 6, 2026, the more the price will reflect the collective intelligence of the market participants, and the more volume we may see as traders refine their positions. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the price of Solana as recorded on a widely-recognized exchange at a specific time on October 6. The precise methodology for determining the final price is detailed within the market’s rules on Polymarket. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the resolved outcome of the Solana price market.
Several signals and events could significantly impact this market before Oct 6, 2026. Major news regarding Solana’s network upgrades, partnerships, or regulatory developments would likely cause price fluctuations and shifts in trading volume. Broader cryptocurrency market trends, such as Bitcoin’s performance or changes in overall investor sentiment, could also influence the Solana price. Unexpected macroeconomic data releases or geopolitical events could also contribute to volatility, prompting traders to reassess their positions within this market.