TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Crypto
Solana price on October 5?
polymarket

Solana price on October 5?

Volume:
$6,997

110-120

 - Polymarket

110-120 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 12:13 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

110-120

View
100%
69%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$81
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

130-140

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,841
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

120-130

0%
68%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,813
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

100-110

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,529
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<70

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,025
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

70-80

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$458
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

>160

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$90
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

80-90

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

90-100

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

150-160

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

140-150

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Solana price market tracks the current implied probability of different price ranges for Solana on October 5. You’ll find a visual representation of the odds, a price history chart showing how the market has priced Solana over time, and the 24-hour trading volume. Currently, the total volume for this market is $6,512, with $3,659 traded in the last day. This allows traders to quickly assess market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities related to the future price of Solana.

Comparing prediction market odds to spot price expectations reveals how traders collectively believe the future price of Solana will differ from its current value. If the odds heavily favor a price significantly above the current spot price, it suggests bullish sentiment. Conversely, if the market leans towards a lower price, it indicates bearish expectations. This provides a unique perspective beyond traditional polls or analyst forecasts, as it's backed by real money at stake. It’s a measure of conviction about the direction of Solana’s price, as expressed through financial commitment.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their beliefs about the Solana price. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of different outcomes. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the market price converges towards a consensus view. The market’s depth and liquidity, indicated by the volume, also influence price discovery. Essentially, traders are using their capital to express their forecasts, and the resulting price movements reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd regarding Solana’s future value.

This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the price of Solana as reported by a widely recognized and trusted exchange at a specific time on October 5. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the result. Traders should monitor reliable sources for updates as the resolution date approaches, as any discrepancies or delays in reporting could impact the final outcome of this market.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 5, 2026. Major news regarding Solana’s network upgrades, partnerships, or regulatory developments would likely have a substantial impact. Broader macroeconomic factors, such as changes in interest rates or inflation, could also influence the price of Solana and, consequently, the market. Unexpected events in the wider cryptocurrency market, like hacks or security breaches affecting other blockchains, could create volatility and shift sentiment. Monitoring these factors is crucial for understanding potential price movements in this market.